Forecasts of the Vision Document
The forecasts of the Vision 2040 document are:
- The document estimates that India will need 200 airports and an investment of $40-50 billion to handle at least 1.1 billion passengers flying to, from and within the country.
- It is estimated that passenger traffic (to, from and within India) for FY 2040 would be 1.1 billion, which is six times the 187 million traffic recorded in FY 2018.
- Most of the airports’ passenger capacity will saturate in the next 15 years and India will have to nearly double the count from 99 to 200.
- Even the second airports in regions like Delhi and Mumbai would be saturated by 2040 and will require a third airport.
- In order to cater to this huge passenger traffic, India will have to holistically develop airports having all stakeholders on board. This has to be coupled with providing quality service to flyers.
- The scheduled airline fleet will rise from 622, at the end of March 2018, to 2,360 till March 2040.
- Even though India is a “price sensitive” market, gradual rise in per capita incomes, increased (perceived) value of ‘time’, propensity for leisure and tourism will lead to more and more Indians using airways as a medium to travel.
Recommendations made in the Vision Document
The Vision Document makes the following recommendations:
- Ushering in amendments to Land Acquisition, Rehabilitation and Restructuring Act, 2013 and adopting “land-pooling” techniques to develop newer airports.
- Lower Goods and Services Tax (GST) since taxes add pressure on the airline’s bottom line.
- Aviation turbine fuel (ATF) to be brought under GST.
The Vision document for 2040 also addresses areas of concerns for maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO), human resource development, aviation safety and security, ground handling mechanism, air navigation and remotely piloted aircraft (drones).